This study reports on a cohort of competitive cross country skiers 28-30 years after an initial evaluation. There is no control group. The initial evaluation was in 1976 and included 122 participants classified into 3 age groups at baseline: group I 26-33; group II 43-50; group III 58-64.
At follow-up in 2004-2006, 37 had died (most in the older age group) and 11 were lost to follow-up. Among the 78 remaining ones, 17% had AF and 13% lone AF. Broken down by age group, the AF prevalence was 18% in group I, 14% in group II and 25% in group III.
As expected, the subjects with AF had larger atrial sizes when measured at follow-up. LV mass was not measured (the less sensitive wall thickness was similar among AF and non-AF subjects).
The baseline data were limited to physical examination, PFT’s, ECG at rest and with exercise, as well as VO2 max measurement.
A slow heart rate and prolonged PQ interval, both indicators of vagal tone, were strong discriminant of the future risk of AF in the younger age group (HR 44 ± 5 for LAF and 53 ± 9 for sinus subjects; PQ 0.17 ± 0.05 for LAF and 0.17 ± 0.02 for sinus subjects). A similar pattern was found for the overall cohort, although the effect was not as strong.
Intensity and duration of training, height (at follow-up), thyroid tests and HgA1c (at follow-up) were not associated with AF status.
Take-home: This supports the hypothesis that AF in endurance athletes may be significantly impacted by autonomic tone. A speaker at this year’s ACC meeting emphasized the same point.

